Market Harmonics
Fractal Trading with Constitutional Constraints
Sustainable Alpha Through Constitutional Constraints
Market Harmonics detects fractal patterns (Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Gartley) across 14-day windows, validates them using chaos theory (Lyapunov exponent), and applies constitutional position sizing via Aparigraha (non-greed, 2% max position).
In our demo, NZX50 analysis shows 72% bullish signal strength, which naively suggests a 5% position. But Aparigraha caps it at 2%βand in one case study, this constraint prevented a -1.9% loss when AIR.NZ dropped 3.8% despite bullish fractals. Markets reward patience, not greed.
Fractal Patterns Detected
Elliott Wave
82% confidenceWave 5 completion target: 12,150
Fibonacci Retracement
78% confidence0.618 support at 11,720
Gartley Harmonic
71% confidencePoint D completion at 11,820
Chaos Theory Validation
Lyapunov exponent Ξ»=0.18 indicates weakly chaotic system with 3-5 day predictability window. Patterns are validated only within chaos attractor bounds.
Track Record
β οΈ Risk Warning
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Fractal trading involves substantial risk. The 2% Aparigraha constraint is designed to prevent catastrophic losses, but losses are still possible. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. This is not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor.